Integrating Potential Land Use Conflict Into Ecological Security Pattern in Response to Land Use/Cover Changes at a County Scale in Yangtze River Delta, China

Identifying key ecological nodes/corridors and priority restoration areas (KENPRA) is the link for optimizing land use security patterns (ESPs). However, few studies have considered future use/cover change (LUCC) urban sprawl in identifying KENPRA ESP maintenance. To optimize KENPRA, we took Quanjiao County, Anhui Province, China as a case study area, typical unit Chinese Land Spatial Planning suburb of Yangtze River Delta agglomeration challenging LUCC pattern A comprehensive framework has been established by integrating conflict (LUC) to adapt corresponding urbanization processes. CA-Markov model was used predict under different KENPRA-based scenarios 2030. The results found that total area 4,357.2 ha 17 nodes which were approximately 50% concentrated intensive LUC areas. result simulation showed indicated less expansion better effectiveness maintaining ESPs findings proposed provide new important information implications planners policymakers understand improve planning/policy; also can understanding coupled human–nature system linking LUCC, ecosystem services, planning.